Florida Int
W-L: (21-12) PR = 94.3410Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 56-81 1115 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 81-68 1118 H UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 61-79 1122 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 69-80 1128 A UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 86-76 1130 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 64-59 1205 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) **-92 1215 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 80-63 1219 A Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 78-61 1220 H Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 57-60 1230 A FLANT **-30 104 H Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 69-80 108 H Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 67-70 110 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 76-65 115 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 83-74 117 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 67-59 122 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 66-60 124 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 59-74 130 A Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 74-61 201 H Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 48-51 205 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 80-54 207 A Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 60-58 212 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 49-71 214 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 67-65 219 A Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 62-36 221 A Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 66-45 226 H Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 38-69 305 A Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 80-14 307 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 64-60 311 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 76-66 313 H Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 69-74 320 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 76-73 324 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 66-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H So Florida 56-81 -25 -1 -0.92
1115 A Beth-Cook 81-68 13 3 0.00
1118 H UCF 61-79 -18 0 -1.92
1122 H Jacksonville 69-80 -11 0 -1.77
1128 A UMBC 86-76 10 1 1.20
1130 A Seattle 64-59 5 3 0.00
1205 A Georgia St **-92 11 1 0.86
1215 A Florida Atl 80-63 17 1 1.49
1219 A Youngstown St 78-61 17 0 + 2.07
1220 H Florida Atl 57-60 -3 1 - -2.53
104 H Missouri St 69-80 -11 0 -1.69
108 H Jacksonv St 67-70 -3 1 - -2.98
110 A Kennesaw St 76-65 11 1 0.76
115 A NM St 83-74 9 2 0.38
117 A TX-El Paso 67-59 8 1 0.81
122 A Sam Houston 66-60 6 0 1.84
124 H La Tech 59-74 -15 -1 -1.27
130 A Liberty 74-61 13 0 1.91
201 H Delaware 48-51 -3 1 - -3.09
205 A We Kentucky 80-54 26 2 0.42
207 A Middle Tenn 60-58 2 0 1.72
212 H La Tech 49-71 -22 -1 -1.27
214 A Sam Houston 67-65 2 0 1.84
219 A Delaware 62-36 26 1 0.93
221 A Liberty 66-45 21 0 1.91
226 H Missouri St 38-69 -31 0 -1.69
305 A Middle Tenn 80-14 66 0 1.72
307 A We Kentucky 64-60 4 2 0.42
311 A Jacksonv St 76-66 10 1 1.04
313 H Missouri St 69-74 -5 0 -1.69
320 A Stetson 76-73 3 0 1.60
324 H Abilene Chr 66-77 -11 0 - -2.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 H Florida Atl 57-60 -3 1 - -2.53 108 H Jacksonv St 67-70 -3 1 - -2.98 201 H Delaware 48-51 -3 1 - -3.09 324 H Abilene Chr 66-77 -11 0 - -2.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1219 A Youngstown St 78-61 17 0 + 2.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 56-81 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 0.95 -2.12
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 81-68 -8.95 2.01 0.01 0.95 3.83
3 H UCF (11-20, 94.4) 61-79 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.95 -2.60
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 69-80 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 0.95 -2.53
3 A UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 86-76 -6.37 4.59 0.01 0.95 8.72
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 64-59 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.95 5.45
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) **-92 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.95 8.09
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 80-63 -6.08 4.89 0.01 0.95 9.29
3 A Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 78-61 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.95 10.38
3 H Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 57-60 -6.08 4.89 -0.01 0.95 -2.89
3 H Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 69-80 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.95 -2.49
3 H Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 67-70 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 0.95 -3.10
3 A Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 76-65 -6.81 4.15 0.01 0.95 7.89
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 83-74 -7.19 3.77 0.01 0.95 7.17
3 A TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 67-59 -6.76 4.20 0.01 0.95 7.99
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 66-60 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.95 9.94
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 59-74 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 0.95 -2.29
3 A Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 74-61 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.07
3 H Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 48-51 -6.64 4.32 -0.01 0.95 -3.15
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 80-54 -7.15 3.81 0.01 0.95 7.25
3 A Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 60-58 -5.85 5.11 0.01 0.95 9.71
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 49-71 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 0.95 -2.29
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 67-65 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.95 9.94
3 A Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 62-36 -6.64 4.32 0.01 0.95 8.22
3 A Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 66-45 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.07
3 H Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 38-69 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.95 -2.49
3 A Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 80-14 -5.85 5.11 0.01 0.95 9.71
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 64-60 -7.15 3.81 0.01 0.95 7.25
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 76-66 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.95 8.42
3 H Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 69-74 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.95 -2.49
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 76-73 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.95 9.49
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 66-77 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 0.95 -2.68
------
137.77
|
winning pts = 168.8985 losing points = -31.1271
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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